Doing the Math

Respiratory Droplet, David Goodsell, 2020

Saying the quiet part out loud seems to be a thing these days. So, let’s get started here. Since last spring, when we were first vaccinated against Covid through last fall, when we were both boosted, our chances of dying from Covid have fallen significantly. Last summer saw the Delta variant surge and even now Omicron is raging out of control. Both waves of infection were followed by thousands of fatalities that were primarily borne by unvaccinated adult Americans. Numerous scientific studies have identified that the majority of the people who have died from Covid in the last six months can be correlated with voters who had supported Trump. The reason for this correlation is abundantly clear. Rightwing politicians and media have been feeding their supporters a steady diet of anti-vax propaganda, causing these people to eschew getting safely vaccinated like we did, in favor of unproven and ineffective home remedies, such as horse dewormer or their own piss. The results of these decisions by Trump supporters are that they are now dying at election demographics shifting numbers. In his recent Medium article Donald G. McNeil Jr. has laid out the math. Looking at just four battleground states, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and Nevada, which Trump lost by just razor thin margins in 2020, McNeil lays out the math. Currently, 95% of Americans who are dying now of Covid are unvaccinated. What is less clear, is the political affiliations of the deceased, except that death rates in counties that voted for Trump in 2020 are about three times higher than the death rates in counties that went for Biden. Call this 3-to-1 split a 75% chance. McNeil writes, “Right now, about 60 Arizonans, 36 Georgians, 34 Wisconsinites and 14 Nevadans are dying of Covid each day. Seventy five percent of 95 percent of that would be minus 103 Trump voters per day — just in those four swing states. Week after week. That adds up.” McNeil surmises that Donald Trump has seen the “arithmetic on the wall”, hence his recent to advocating for the vaccines, even in the face of booing from his fans.

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