It has been a week since we have returned to the States and while it is good to be home again, I have not appreciated the political turmoil that has greeted us upon our return. Tomorrow will mark two-weeks to go until Election Day, which cannot come a day too early. I really pity my friends and relatives who live in a battleground state, where the political furor must be even more fevered pitched. I cannot even imagine. While we were in Croatia, it was not like we were walled off from this situation. I had gotten an international phone plan that allowed domestic news to jump the pond. It also allowed my inbox to continue to fill with solicitations for political donations. I am an avid consumer of political news, but even I have to say stop to the firehose deluge that comes every day.
Much of this so-called news centers around the polls. There are new polls every day. Invariably each new poll shows one side gaining on the other, but only by a tenth of a percent and always well within the margin of error. Why so much importance is placed upon these polls is a mystery to me. The history of polling shows that they have been uniformly wrong for the last ten years. Why? I think that it is because of the cell phone. In the past, in the land of landlines and no caller ID, pollsters had a decent chance of reaching their statistically significant individuals. Now they are just shooting in the dark and accepting whatever results that they can get. I have never been polled. I do not even know of anyone who has been polled. Of course, I do not answer calls from numbers that I do not recognize and that might have a lot to do with my lack of pollster interaction.
So, the polls are flawed and likely wrong. Could it be that the race is not as close as we are led to believe? Could it be that we are actually looking at a Harris blowout on November 5th? I know, it may just be wishful thinking on my part, but who is to say different? Since 2016 Trump and the Republicans have been underperforming and instead of getting better, they are actually getting worse. Two-weeks from tomorrow, be may all be able to go to bed early, with the knowledge that President-Elect Kamala Harris was elected in a landslide.
